Monthly Archives: May 2012

What Does Warren Know That We Don’t Know?

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Warren Buffett - Now Loose with Open Check Book

Warren Buffett – The New ‘King of All Media

Warren is on the loose…again, and he brought his check book.  What does the Oracle of Omaha know that the result of us don’t.  For one thing he knows a great investment, and that means something he can own for a long time.  That habit is not in vogue in todays fast trading world.  Warren is looking to own assets that will appreciate over time, while bringing in some great cash flow, year in and year out.  I remember those days, but then my idea of long range planning is “what are we going to do after lunch?”  Warren is worried about the next decade, not what’s for lunch!

Warren, really Berkshire Hathaway, bought most of the print units of Media General, sans the Tampa Tribune, which will stand on its own for Media General, or until they find a way to sell it off as well.  Media General got some great cash and a chance to stay alive for awhile, something many major media companies are trying to do.  Warren got all of these holdings at a good price along with the real estate.  The price is significantly lower than the multiples paid in the past decade when all of these media companies sold or recapitalized, and then the bust hit.  Media companies can still make money, if they are not mired in debt – that is what Warren knows.

With our transition to a digital media world, in progress as we speak, there is still room for print media in local markets.  I should qualify that and say ‘print’ is not really the operative word going forward, but news media leader in a local market with a print product is more to the point.  As the ‘voice’ of the community – their earned mantle – they can be important and profitable businesses.  Kind of like having gone through a takeover by a venture capital company.  Make it leaner, and meaner and you can still make a buck.  Lots of jobs will be shed, but then that is better than oblivion.

With this deal Mr. Buffett and Berkshire have seats at the table with Media General, as well as with The Washington Post Company, as well as a stake in The Buffalo News. He is quickly gaining influence throughout the industry by his unabashed belief in the continuing role of the newspaper in the community.  He provides both financial and moral support to an industry in need of both, and at a very critical time.  The biggest players like the New York Times, Washington Post and Wall St. Journal exist on a different plane.  They are national papers of record that large audiences look to, their issues are different. Local and regional papers have different needs and Warren understands.  With his purchases, not only does he have a seat at the table, but now he sits at the head of the table, and all eyes are on him.

Facebook is launching today what could be one of the truly huge IPOs with a value over $100B.  FB is one of the contributing factors to the demise of newspaper readership.  No they are not the main culprit, but more of a symptom of the decline of newspaper subscriptions.  The newspaper was the watercolor content provider for social currency up through the last 10 years.  If you wanted to be able to join the conversation at work, you read the newspaper.  TV was also a source of conversation with your friends and co-workers.  Now you keep in touch by digital means, texting and emailing…and the Facebook.  Newspapers, in this new age, have lost a lot of their relevance of social currency.  By the way it opened at $38 and has moved across $40 where it is as of this post.  Oh for the days when newspaper sales attracted half of the attention of the FB IPO.

Warren understands that the local market is the last great place to have a real chance to still have an open forum in the community.  There is still a chance in our ever growing social world that the local paper can have a real chance to drive that social discussion.  As in the past, this is not about altruism, it is about having a good earning business.  Newspapers will never command the high multiples when they are sold, because they will never be the monopolies of the past.  With low debt and reduced operating costs newspapers can deliver a return that a ‘buy and hold’ kind of guy like Warren can appreciate.  This strategy can be the one that can save local papers, and I don’t see much else that will.

Good luck Warren!  We are all pulling for you and your strategy for the sake of our industry, and our communities.  We’ll be waiting for more good news in the future.  By the way how about some love for Orange County – The Register is available, and I hear the price is too good to pass up.

Integrated Marketing – an Imperative for Success Today

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The Wheel of Marketing Choices

The integrated imperative!  That’s where marketing is today.  Heed the headline, or perish. There really aren’t any options.  Over the last several years my clients and I have noticed that marketing has gotten harder to do well, we had fewer choices and those produced good results.  There are more marketing choices, channels and media options than we thought possible just a few years ago.  Choosing wisely and making it work across channels and markets – integration, is what it really driving our marketing world today…and to do it well is hard!

On May 10, Steve McKee, in Business Week, authored the article “Integrated Marketing: If You Knew It, You’d Do It”  He starts with the opening paragraph – If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it, is such a cliché that it has spawned its own cliché: If it ain’t broke, break it. Unfortunately, that’s just what many companies do unwittingly to their branding programs, playing into the hands of public enemy No. 1 in today’s marketing environment: Fragmentation.

The rest of the article made the case for integrating the marketing, mainly keeping a consistency of messaging across multiple platforms we all endure today.  It is a delightful read, and one that many of his readers commented on in a favorable manner.  For the most part I agree, but the key message he iterates is ‘integrated marketing is hard!’  Yes it is, and this is why so few are able to do it well, if at all.

The boomer generation grew up with tightly bracketed marketing channels.  You bought the best and then hoped for good results.  The good news is that your audience had fewer choices and they were generally on the receiving end – be it newspapers, television, radio or out of home.

That world doesn’t exist today, and everything is hard.  So many choices, and so many places for your audience to be hiding.  The digital world is wonderful with all of its options on both sides, but for the marketer it is tough to juggle all those balls.  Three key channel options for most, have now turned into 8 to 12.  On top of that it is now ‘social’ so your audience can talk back to you…and you better be listening, because they’ll carve you up if you aren’t.  Trust me, I have, and they have left scars for not listening and not responding fast enough.

The McKee article is a good read, and I implore you to look at it.  You should also read the reader comments which come mainly from industry participants, who mostly agree, but they also have their particular bents.  They are in agreement that ‘integrated marketing is hard.’  Yes it is, but there is no choice.  The world we knew was broken, and there is no going back.  Multiple channels, both analog and digital need to be attended to and used appropriately to reach your target ‘audiences’ (emphasis on the plural) if you are to survive.

Many of my clients have long histories, they love their new options, but still talk about how it ‘used to be.’  We commiserate, have a cup of coffee, and then get on with reality and plan how to cover their broad patch of media options.  All of this with careful attention to keeping the message consistent and true to each channel of their multi-faceted customer and target base.  It takes more time, and more money, but it produces better results.  Isn’t that what we are all looking for?  It’s a new world, and I love it!

Love Letters from Washington to the USPS

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Congress - In Action or inaction?In the manner in which it can only do, the Senate has passed legislation aimed at solving some of the problems the USPS is facing.  As only they can do…they punted, and now the House will have the ball for the rest of the game.  On May 15, time will be out so they need to act soon.

What did they accomplish? According to most who care about the issue – not much.  Lots of posturing, and little action.  Retirement incentives for nearly 100,000 postal employees, a ‘study’ of dropping Saturday delivery, a return of $5.5B in ‘overpayments into the retiree health plan along with not having to continue the onerous advance payments they had been conscripted to do in 2006.  They would also allow the USPS to find some new revenue sources like the delivery of wine and beer which they are forbidden by law to do currently.

Wow – study Saturday delivery.  Oh, and they also sent a strongly worded letter to the Postmaster General not to do any post office or distribution center closings, please, until they got back to them.  Our top 100 legislators in the U.S., and this is all they can come up with.  Now it’s on to the House.

The House is going through its ‘due diligence with no due haste of any many.  With their view they also want to punt the issue down the road.  After having asked for bold solutions and suggested that the Postmaster General and his staff run this like a business, they are now saying ‘ wait a minute.’  It is obvious from their public comments that they in the House intend to do just that…for many minutes.

Notes have been passed back an forth Senate to House to USPS in a never ending cycle and now some news is coming out as of today that the USPS has agreed not to close any post offices for now.  The threat of closing many rural post offices was too much for all of the Senators and Congressman.  We’ll effectively deal with that after the fall election.  Surprised, not so much on my part.

The USPS has many problems, but the courage to create a ‘business plan’ that could stem their losses was not one of them.  They came up with one, but it meant pain, and we don’t do pain well in an election year on any house or on either side of the aisle.  Change will have to come in 2013.  But what kind of change do we really want.

It is absolutely true that we communicate differently now than in the past.  Old legacy media and forms of communications are being changed to newer digital forms.  Mail, newspapers, land line telephones are not the key means to reach out and ‘touch someone’ that they used to be.  Get over it, and move on!  We still need all of these to have total access to information and a free dialog that is so important to our way of life.  We need the USPS, but we do need to trim its costs just as newspapers have had to trim theirs to stay alive.  Let’s hope our national legislators have the real courage to tackle this issue and to help place the USPS on a solid footing for the sake of our future.  I’ll be putting out a Mothers Day card tomorrow, and I hope I’ll get a couple of Fathers Day cards next month – we need the cheer that only they can bring when you pull them out of the envelope.

The USPS is NOT a business, it is a real part of the American way of life, and I for one want it to stay, even if I don’t like all the grumpy clerks down at my local P.O. here in Irvine.  Heck, even I get grumpy once and a while.  I welcome your comments, email or even drop me a card in the mail.  Our friends at the post office will appreciate it too!

Warren Buffet – A Savior for Newspapers

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Warren Buffett - The New Savior of Newspapers“Warren Buffett Says He May Buy More”

by Peter Kafka in  All Things Digital

Berkshire Hathaway’s Warren Buffett, who owns the Buffalo News, the Omaha World-Herald and a big chunk of the Washington Post, told shareholders today that he may buy more newspapers. “I think there is a future for newspapers that exist in an area where there is a sense of community,” he said. “I think the economics will be ok, but it will be nothing like the old days.”

If there is one man who can set the direction for newspapers it could be the Warren.  He still sees the value because he see the total proposition, not just the bottom line.  In many of the recent sales of newspapers this kind of logic has prevailed – as in San Diego, Philadelphia, and the potential of Eli Broad buying the Los Angeles Times.  Money seeking influence.  I think we have found our new business model.  As the saying goes “Everything old is new again!