AT&T Exits From the Yellow Pages – check it out on Yelp

It was announced this week that AT&T has agreed to sell a majority stake in its Yellow Pages business to Cerberus Capital Management. The price was reported to be $950 million dollars, for a declining business that AT&T was happy to jettison and get on to more important areas of their business.

The deal was for primarily cash with AT&T receiving 750 million in cash, with a 200 million note on the backend. AT&T will maintain a 47% stake in the business, but Cerberus will handle all day-to-day operations. Cerberus has pulled a number of rabbits out of their hat in the past, but this one looks to be particularly difficult.

During its heyday through the 1990s the Yellow Pages franchise, which included AT&T and a number of other telephone companies, and even a number of independent publishing companies, had a wildly profitable business. Recently the business, as a print operation, has become a boat anchor.  Revenue was down 30% in just the last two years.  The goal for Cerebus is to help turn the business into a digital operation that will compete with a number of newer players including Google and Yelp.

It has been a number of years since my family has kept or used a printed Yellow Pages directory at home. Like so many our tendency today is to simply Google what we are looking for hit the return and we have our answers. If we are looking for additional information, we’ll take the time to go to yelp for additional feedback from users where have actually used the service were looking for. In Orange County, CA where I live, Yelp is helpful but certainly not the powerhouse that I found when I was working in the San Francisco Bay Area. There looking through Yelp was like reading a novel, and I discovered a number of incredible writers who took the time to elaborate on their personal experiences at the various restaurants and shops they wrote about.

AT&T will use the time and the money to help grow their electronic portion of the communications field. With their growing competition this would seem to have been a good move. Cerberus will attempt to do something I that seems impossible, but they have done the impossible before, and I’m confident they have a plan to do it again.  As a private equity firm they don’t have to meet the needs of the market and shareholders and that is critical for them to have the time and hard efforts to pull this off.

Good luck to both AT&T and Cerebus, we won’t hold our breath, but we wish you well. I wonder if Cerberus would also like to buy a few good newspapers, I know of a number that can be had for well under $950 million. In fact they might be able to purchase several former large newspaper-publishing groups for the same figure.  There is one that is headquartered in Orange County (Freedom) that I hear can be had for well less than a billion.

Fear and Loving from Las Vegas – Geeks Version

Last week began the 2nd week of the holiday shopping season that now follows right after Christmas.  AKA  “Consumer Electronics Show” it is held in Las Vegas and despite its name it is not for actual consumers to attend, but for industry insiders to glimpse and ogle all of the new technology coming to the market this year.  I am a geek, but I can’t get in, so I have to watch from afar, wiping drool from my computer screen, and during bouts away from my computer, off of my Droid X.

The amazing thing about CES is that it used to really astound attendees, now not so much.  Most of those coming already know about what they will be seeing, but now they get to kick the tires up close, and ogle (I love that word) all of the show models who are now back in vogue again.  The bigger news for the last several years has been who hasn’t been there – Apple.  For some time Apple chose to leave CES and hold their own announcement launches.  Last year, 2 weeks after CES, Steve Jobs showed the iPad.  Now it is changing the way we read and communicate away from our computers.  This year there were 35 new iPad like tablets that were shown at CES.  From zero to 60 miles and hour in under 2 seconds is what the change feels like in the digital world.

This used to be the showcase for not just Apple, but also for Microsoft.  Boy have things changed for both camps.  Last year they showed a type of tablet running Windows 7.  It fizzled, and the successors to that model are running the Android versions of software.  A big hit for Microsoft, the former elephant in the room (not a jab at Steve Ballmer, or at least not intentional).

The other big participants in the CES were all of the coming versions of 3-D TVs.  I’m still not on board with this trend, but then I have a hard time seeing HDTV with all of my versions of ‘blended lenses’ to see across the room.  Sound not so bad, but then I have to change the batteries in my hearing aid or I’m dead.  Getting old in the digital age does have some perks, even if the tiny batteries are expensive.

The last comment on what I gleaned is that this will also be the year of 4G coming to many of the cell carriers.  The bad news is that they all say it is coming, but someone forgot to put in the upgrade order with the engineers who build the systems.  Even my carrier, Verizon, is touting their new system, but it will take years for it to roll out to most areas.  Too make matters worse they are announcing that they will sell iPhones – yeah, but the demand on the system from the projected increase may shake coverage to its roots and dropped calls will increase there, not on AT&T – boo.  Last year there were 4 iPhones and one standard cell running on AT&T and Verizon.  This year there are now 4 Android phones and one hold out iPhone – slated to go to the new iPhone when it drops.  The score – 4 less AT&T phones and now 5 Verizon serviced phones.  Change is great, but it’s getting crowded on the new party line.

The big question is – what does all of this mean?  Change is accelerating, everything is moving towards digital, and those who provide content and channels will control the world.  That means that Comcast and Time Warner will be the big winners.  The big losers – old media who live in the print world exclusively.  They are declining, and most are now fully onboard and ready to push out their content to iPads, Tablets and Smartphones.  The plop sound in the driveway of your newspaper at 5AM is destined to be replaced with the ping on your digital appliance of choice very soon.

Green with Envy

HTC Incredible

In another sign of the digital wave that appears to be becoming a tidal wave of epic proportions comes from recent iPad sales. Hey, I’m a true early adopter – day 2 for my iPhone in San Francisco in 2007, but this is getting crazy. Today Apple noted that they had sold over 1,000,000 in just 28 days, and that they sold 300,000 of the newest iPad 3Gs over the weekend.

I’m blown away, but I think that it really foretells the future for all of us…even those of us who still sport an original iPhone after 3 years. I’ve been waiting for the quantum upgrade and the hoped Verizon version since my AT&T coverage in Irvine stinks. My second ‘digital native” Kevin this week stopped holding his breath and came home with a first day version of the newest Android phone – from Verizon. I’m green with envy, hard for me to see in a mirror however, since I’m red green colorblind.

I’m holding my breath now – the red is coming to my cheeks as I pen this missive, and I hope I can sustain myself for a while longer. I’m hedging my bets as I dig deeper into Google world and seeing how I can live in the clouds with a whole new set of apps to simplify my life. I’m old, out of shape, and I don’t know how much longer I can hold my breath! Come on Apple, a little help here for the Analog Sherpa.